IDENTIFY ORGANIZATION:

IDENTIFY TARGET GROUP:

IDENTIFY GROUP LOCATION:

NAME YOUR SECURITY THREAT:

DESCRIBE YOUR SECURITY THREAT:

SPECIFY TIME HORIZON:

ENTER TODAY’S DATE:

COLUMN 1

COLUMN 2

COLUMN 3

COLUMN 4

COLUMN 5

COLUMN 6

HOW
DANGEROUS IS THIS SECURITY THREAT?

WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY THAT THIS THREAT WILL BECOME A
HAZARD?

WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY
THAT TARGET GROUP WILL BE EXPOSED TO THIS HAZARD?

HOW
VULNERABLE IS THE TARGET GROUP TO THIS HAZARD?

HOW MUCH HUMAN MISERY WOULD OCCUR DURING A DISASTER?

QUANTIFY SECURITY
RISK

VD

QD

MD

SD

ND

VL

QL

50

QU

VU

VL

QL

50

QU

VU

VV

QV

MV

SV

NV

EM

GM

MM

SM

NM

CALCULATE SECURITY SCORE AND
CLASSIFY YOUR SECURITY RISK

5

4

3

2

1

5

4

3

2

1

5

4

3

2

1

5

4

3

2

1

5

4

3

2

1

SCORE

SR

BR

MR

TR

NR

VD: Very Dangerous

QD: Quite Dangerous

MD: Moderately Dang.

SD: Slightly Dangerous

ND: Not Dangerous

VL: Very Likely

QL: Quite Likely

50: Chances are 50-50

QU: Quite Unlikely

VU: Very Unlikely

VL: Very Likely

QL: Quite Likely

50: Chances are 50-50

QU: Quite Unlikely

VU: Very Unlikely

VV: Very Vulnerable

QV: Quite Vulnerable

MV: Moderately Vuln.

SV: Slightly Vulnerable

NV: Not Vulnerable

EM: Extreme Misery

GM: Great Misery

MM: Moderate Misery

SM: Slight Misery

NM: No Misery

SR: Serious Risk

BR: Big Risk

MR: Moderate Risk

TR: Trivial Risk

NR: No Risk

RECORD EVIDENCE (IF AVAILABLE) AND REFERENCES TO SUPPORT YOUR ANSWERS TO THE ABOVE QUESTIONS

RECORD NAMES OF THE PEOPLE WHO ANSWERED THE ABOVE QUESTIONS (YOUR PANEL OF JUDGES)

NOTES

The following material will explain how the preceding Human Security Analysis Form should be used. Each part of the Form is listed on the left and explained on the right. Please note that one Human Security Analysis Form (page) should be used for each Security Threat. For example, if you have identified 10 threats you will use 10 copies of this Security Form, and therefore end up with 10 pages.

Identify Organization

Specify the name of the organization responsible for this Human Security Analysis.

Identify Target Group

Identify or describe the group of people who need to be protected. This is the target group, the group that is at risk, in danger, or is exposed to hazards. Target groups can include at least the following:

Your Human Security Analysis will focus on the Target Group you have chosen.

Identify Group Location

Specify exactly where your Target Group is located. Be as specific as possible.

Name Security Threat

Name the Security Threat that will be the focus of your Human Security Analysis. Remember that one Human Security Analysis Form (page) should be used for each Security Threat.

Describe Security Threat

Describe the Threat that will be the focus of your Human
Security Analysis.  Be as specific as possible.

Specify Time Horizon

Specify your Time Horizon. Choose a future time period such as 5, 10, or 20 years. This is the period during which a potential security threat could influence the Target Group. Remember the Time Horizon as you do your Human Security Analysis.

Do Security Analysis

Carry out your Human Security Analysis by answering the five questions
found in columns 1 to 5. These five questions are discussed below.

Complete Column 1

This column asks: How dangerous is this security threat? Think about your Target Group, and then think about how dangerous this threat is to this Group. What’s the degree of danger? Relative to all other threats facing your Group, how dangerous is this threat? Is it very dangerous (VD) to the safety and security of the Target Group? Or is it quite dangerous (QD), moderately dangerous (MD), slightly dangerous (SD), or not dangerous (ND)? Record a number from 5 to 1 as shown on the Form. These numbers will be used to calculate the Security Risk.

Complete Column 2

This column asks: What is the probability that this threat will become a hazard? How likely is it that this potential threat will become a real hazard?  How likely is it that this threat will actually become hazardous to the Target Group? What are the chances that a threat will actually become a serious hazard during the chosen Time Horizon? Is it very likely (VL) that this threat will become a hazard? Is it quite likely (QL)? Are the chances 50-50, or is it quite unlikely (QU), or very unlikely (VU)? Record a number from 5 to 1 as shown on the Form. These numbers will be used to calculate the Security Risk.

Complete Column 3

This column asks: What is the probability that the Target Group will be exposed to this hazard? How likely is it that this Group will actually come into contact with this security hazard?  Is it very likely (VL) that this Group will be exposed to this hazard? Is it quite likely (QL)? Are the chances 50-50, or is it quite unlikely (QU), or very unlikely (VU)? Record a number from 5 to 1 as shown on the Form. These
numbers will be used to calculate the Security Risk.

Complete Column 4

This column asks: How vulnerable is the Target Group to this hazard? If this threat were to become a real hazard, how susceptible would this Group be to injury, disease, or death? How vulnerable would they be? Would they be very vulnerable (VV), quite vulnerable (QV), moderately vulnerable (MV), slightly vulnerable (SV), or not vulnerable (NV)? Record a number from 5 to 1 as shown on the Form.
These numbers will be used to calculate the Security Risk.

Complete Column 5

This column asks: How much human misery would occur during a disaster? Estimate how much misery and suffering would occur if this Security Threat were to turn into an actual disaster. Estimate how much disease, injury, or death would occur. Would the Target Group experience extreme misery (EM), great misery (GM), moderate misery (MM), slight misery (SM), or no misery (NM)? Record a number from 5 to 1 as shown on the Form. These numbers will be used to calculate the Security Risk.

Complete Column 6

Once you’ve completed the first five columns, it’s time to figure out the Security Risk posed by this Threat. In order to do so, please use the numbers from the previous columns to calculate a Security Score. Calculate your Security Score for this Threat by simply adding the five numbers together.  This simple calculation will yield a Score that ranges from a maximum of 25 (5+5+5+5+5) to a minimum of 5 (1+1+1+1+1). Record your Security Score in the space provided in column 6.  Then classify your Security Risk according to the following table:

In general, a threat is classified as a very serious security risk if it is very dangerous (5), if it is very likely to become a real hazard (5), if it is very likely that the target group will actually be exposed to this hazard (5), if the target group is very vulnerable to this hazard (5), and if extreme misery and suffering would
occur during a disaster (5).

Record Evidence

Use this space to record any evidence you might have that supports the answers you have given in columns 1 to 5. Also list any references that you found helpful. These might include books, articles, or internal documents.

Record Names

Use this space to record the names of your Panel of Judges: the people who discussed this Security Threat and who answered the 5 questions.

Rank Security Risk

Once you’ve completed a Security Analysis Form for each threat, you can use your Security Scores to Rank these threats. These scores will allow you to identify the number 1 security threat, the number 2 security threat, and so on for each threat. Once you’ve completed a page (Form) for each threat, simply shuffle your pages so that the number 1 threat is on top. Record a rank of 1 for the top page, a rank of 2 for the next page, and so on for each threat. Record these ranks in the space provided in the upper right hand corner of the Form. Now that you know what the most serious Security Risks are, you can develop your Human Security Program to address these risks.